Takaisin

Does use of progestogen during the first trimester of pregnancy increase live birth rate (LBR) in women with threatened miscarriage?

Näytönastekatsaukset
Hanna Hautamäki
11.5.2026

Näytön aste: B

Vaginal micronized progesterone treatment apparently slightly increases live birth rate for women with early pregnancy bleeding and a history of three or more previous miscarriages.

Progestogen treatment has not been associated with maternal or neonatal adverse events; however, long term safety data is lacking.

Level of evidence is downgraded due to imprecision.

Taulukko 1. Description of the included studies
Reference Study type Population Intervention and comparison Outcomes Risk of bias
RCT=randomized controlled trial; SR=systematic review; MA=meta-analysis
«Zhao Y, D'Souza R, Gao Y, ym. Progestogens in wome...»1 SR/MA 15 RCTs, N=6616 pregnancies
Grouped according to number of previous pregnancy losses 0, 1, or ≥ 2
I: natural or synthetic progestogens (micronized, dydrogesterone, and 17- OHPC treatment for up to 24 weeks of gestation
C: placebo or no treatment
Primary: live birth
congenital anomalies, and severe adverse pregnancy events
Low
«Coomarasamy A, Harb HM, Devall AJ, ym. Progesteron...»2 RCT (PRISM) N=4153
16-39 y
With early pregnancy bleeding ≤ 12 weeks of pregnancy
Progesteron 2079
Placebo 2074
UK 48 hospitals
I: vaginal progesteron 400 mg x2/day started within 4 days of bleeding during first 12 weeks up to 16 weeks, confirmed intrauterine pregnancy
C: placebo
Live birth ≥34 weeks
Cost effects
Low
Taulukko 2. Additional comments for included studies
Reference Comments
«Zhao Y, D'Souza R, Gao Y, ym. Progestogens in wome...»1 Most recent systematic review (2024), well-conducted. Publication bias was assessed via a funnel plot and not detected.
The meta-analysis was based on RCTs and risk of bias was evaluated using a modified version of the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool and the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach. Eight studies were conducted in Asia, five in Europe and two in Oceania. The proportion of pregnancies lost to follow-up ranged from 0to 19.3%.
Intervention preparations, dosage and duration varied across studies. Duration varied from some days (until bleeding stopped) up to 24 weeks of gestation.
A Cochrane systematic review from 2021 was excluded because it included the same studies as Zhao et al (and fewer studies).
«Coomarasamy A, Harb HM, Devall AJ, ym. Progesteron...»2 A multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blinded RCT study, 48 hospitals in UK, subgroup analysis according to the number of previous pregnancy losses, follow up rate 97.2%.
Also included in meta-analysis (Zhao et al), but the meta-analysis did not examine outcomes of pregnant women with a history of three or more miscarriages and therefore this study was included also separately.

Results

Taulukko 3. Outcome 1: Live Birth
Reference Number of studies and number of patients (I/C) Follow-up time Absolute number of events (%) I Absolute number of events (%) C Relative effect (95% CI)
«Zhao Y, D'Souza R, Gao Y, ym. Progestogens in wome...»1 A) Threatened miscarriage with or without prior miscarriage
N=5610
12 studies
Varied across studies 2243/2825 (79.4) 2134/2785 (76.6) 1.04 (95% CI 0.99–1.10)
Absolute increase: 31 more/1000 +3.1%
(95% CI
8 fewer −78 more)
B) Threatened miscarriage with one or more prior miscarriages
N=1973
3 studies
756/995 (76.0) 695/978 (71.1) 1.06 (95% CI 0.97–1.16)
Absolute increase: 44 more per 1000 +4.9%
(95% CI 22 fewer −117 more)
«Coomarasamy A, Harb HM, Devall AJ, ym. Progesteron...»2 I 2079/
C 2074
34 weeks of gestation
0 previous pregnancy losses 824/1111
(74.2)
840/1127
(74.5)
0.99, 95% CI
0.95–1.04
1–2 previous pregnancy losses 591/777
(76.1)
534/738
(72.4)
1.05, 95% CI
1.00–1.12
≥3 previous pregnancy losses 98/137
(71.5)
85/148
(57.4)
1.28, 95% CI
1.08–1.51
Level of evidence: Moderate (due to imprecision)
I=intervention; C=comparison; CI=confidence interval
Taulukko 4. Outcome 2: Adverse events
Reference Number of studies and number of patients (I/C) Follow-up time Absolute number of events (%) I Absolute number of events (%) C Relative effect (95% CI)
«Zhao Y, D'Souza R, Gao Y, ym. Progestogens in wome...»1 A) N=6015
7 studies
Congenital anomalies
72/3029 (2.4)
Congenital anomalies
65/2986 (2.2)
RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.76–1.48.
Absolute increase: 1 more per 1000, +0.2%
(CI: 95% 5 fewer–11 more)
B) N=4684
2 studies
Serious adverse pregnancy events
108/2423 (4.4)
Serious adverse pregnancy events
100/2441 (4.1)
RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.83–1.40.
Absolute increase: 2 more per 1000, +0.3%
(CI: 95% 5 fewer–11 more)
«Coomarasamy A, Harb HM, Devall AJ, ym. Progesteron...»2 I 2079/
C 2074
28 days after labor Multiple maternal and perinatal outcomes and adverse effects reported; no differences between groups. Numbers included in the meta-analysis above. There was no evidence of a difference in the safety outcomes.
Level of evidence: Moderate (due to imprecision)

Kirjallisuutta

  1. Zhao Y, D'Souza R, Gao Y, ym. Progestogens in women with threatened miscarriage or recurrent miscarriage: A meta-analysis. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2024;103(9):1689-1701 «PMID: 38481031»PubMed
  2. Coomarasamy A, Harb HM, Devall AJ, ym. Progesterone to prevent miscarriage in women with early pregnancy bleeding: the PRISM RCT. Health Technol Assess 2020;24(33):1-70 «PMID: 32609084»PubMed